Legislative Assembly Summary

Results Explanation

This page shows the state wide Legislative Assembly result for each district based on the Two Candidate Preferred (TCP) count of ballot papers after they had been check-counted. Note this page is not predictive but rather is a summary of the district TCP outcome for polling place votes including check count and declaration votes.

The page also shows the swing associated with TCP counts based on the Distribution of Preferences (DoP) for the 2007 State Election or a subsequent by election. In some cases it is not possible to show a swing where there is not a relevant prior party or candidate to match to the 2011 TCP result.

The TCP candidates selected are normally those candidates which the Electoral Commissioner determines the most likely to be the last two candidates in a full distribution of preference count. However, an exception to this approach occurs where districts have been won by an absolute majority on first preference. In these cases the Electoral Commissioner has selected ALP and Coalition candidates as the TCP candidates. This selection assists election commentators determining state wide electoral swings.

In other cases where it was deemed appropriate the TCP candidates were changed before check count was conducted or declaration votes counted and TCP results are shown for the revised candidates. The districts where this has occurred are Hornsby and Lake Macquarie.

Legislative Assembly - Check Count Results by District
			Party Affiliation				Swing from 2007
District	Candidate	Party	Labor (TCP %)	Lib/Nats (TCP %)	Other (TCP %)	% Counted	Swing %		Comment
Albury	APLIN+	LP+		76.9		100		7.9
Auburn	PERRY+	ALP+	58.5			100		-20.3
Ballina	PAGE+	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Balmain									See Note 3 below
Bankstown	MIHAILUK	ALP+	60.3			100		-15.2
Barwon	HUMPHRIES+	NP+		82.0		100		26.0
Bathurst	TOOLE	NP		73.7		100		36.7
Baulkham Hills	ELLIOTT	LP+		76.4		100		15.9
Bega	CONSTANCE+	LP+		68.6		100		13.6
Blacktown	ROBERTSON	ALP+	53.7			100		-18.7
Blue Mountains	SAGE	LP		54.8		100		15.8
Burrinjuck	HODGKINSON+	NP+		81.1		100		13.7
Cabramatta	LALICH+	ALP+	52.1			100		-5.1	By Election 2008
Camden	PATTERSON	LP		68.9		100		22.8
Campbelltown	DOYLE	LP		53.4		100		21.8
Canterbury	BURNEY+	ALP+	58.4			100		-18.7
Castle Hill	PERROTTET	LP+		80.8		100		11.8
Cessnock	BARR	CL	54.4			100		-8.1
Charlestown	CORNWELL	LP		59.9		100			No 2007 data
Clarence	CANSDELL+	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Coffs Harbour	FRASER+	NP+		77.2		100		9.6
Coogee	NOTLEY-SMITH	LP		58.2		100		15.5
Cronulla	SPEAKMAN	LP+		75.5		100		8.1
Davidson	O'DEA+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Drummoyne	SIDOTI	LP		66.7		100		24.3
Dubbo	GRANT	NP		63.7		100		14.5
East Hills	BROOKES	LP		50.6		100		14.7
Epping	SMITH+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Fairfield	ZANGARI	ALP+	51.7			100		-18.7
Gosford	HOLSTEIN	LP		61.9		100		16.7
Goulburn	GOWARD+	LP+		76.6		100		25.3
Granville	ISSA	LP		52.7		100		13.8
Hawkesbury	WILLIAMS+	LP+		84.7		100		28.7
Heathcote	EVANS	LP		62.9		100		21.7
Heffron	KENEALLY+	ALP+	57.1			100		-16.6
Hornsby	KEAN	LP+		62.1		100		-4.4	New TCP Candidates
Keira	PARK	ALP+	53.9			100		-18.2
Kiama	WARD	LP		57.5		100		19.4
Kogarah	BURTON+	ALP+	51.9			100		-15.8
Ku-ring-gai	O'FARRELL+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Lakemba	FUROLO+	ALP+	57.0			100		-13.5	By Election 2008
Lake Macquarie	PIPER+	IND+			64.9	100		14.7	New TCP Candidates
Lane Cove	ROBERTS+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Lismore	GEORGE+	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Liverpool	LYNCH+	ALP+	64.7			100		-12.2
Londonderry	BASSETT	LP		62.3		100		19.2
Macquarie Fields	McDONALD+	ALP+	51.5			100		-9.6
Maitland	PARKER	LP		56.3		100			No 2007 data
Manly	BAIRD+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Maroubra	DALEY+	ALP+	51.5			100		-14.6
Marrickville	TEBBUTT+	ALP+	50.9			100		-6.6
Menai	GIBBONS	LP		74.4		100		27.1
Miranda	ANNESLEY	LP		71.0		100		21.8
Monaro	BARILARO	NP		52.1		100		8.4
Mount Druitt	AMERY+	ALP+	56.7			100		-18.6
Mulgoa	DAVIES	LP		62.0		100		23.2
Murray-Darling	WILLIAMS+	NP+		77.2		100		17.1
Murrumbidgee	PICCOLI+	NP+		77.9		100		11.8
Myall Lakes	BROMHEAD	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Newcastle						100			See Note 2 below
Northern Tablelands	TORBAY+	IND+			69.4	100		-10.8
North Shore	SKINNER+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Oatley	COURE	LP		50.5		100		14.9
Orange	GEE	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Oxley	STONER+	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Parramatta	LEE	LP		62.1		100		25.8
Penrith	AYRES+	LP+		66.3		100		-0.2	By Election 2010
Pittwater	STOKES+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Port Macquarie	WILLIAMS	NP		56.5		100		11.0	By Election 2008
Port Stephens	BAUMANN+	LP+		62.4		100		12.4
Riverstone	CONOLLY	LP		70.2		100		30.2
Rockdale	FLOWERS	LP		53.5		100		13.8
Ryde	DOMINELLO+	LP+		75.7		100		12.7	By Election 2008
Shellharbour	WATSON	ALP+	58.6			100		-13.0
Smithfield	ROHAN	LP		54.8		100		20.3
South Coast	HANCOCK+	LP+		70.4		100		12.6
Strathfield	CASUSCELLI	LP		54.4		100		19.5
Swansea	EDWARDS	LP		51.1		100		11.9
Sydney	MOORE+	IND+			53.1	100		-13.5	New TCP Candidates
Tamworth	ANDERSON	NP		57.8		100		12.5
Terrigal	HARTCHER+	LP+		74.1		100		15.7
The Entrance	SPENCE	LP		62.5		100		17.3
Toongabbie	REES+	ALP+	50.2			100		-14.2
Tweed	PROVEST+	NP+		71.7		100		18.7
Upper Hunter	SOURIS+	NP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Vaucluse	UPTON	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Wagga Wagga	MAGUIRE+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Wakehurst	HAZZARD+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Wallsend	HORNERY+	ALP+	56.6			100		-9.2
Willoughby	BEREJIKLIAN+	LP+		*		100			See Note 1 below
Wollondilly	ROWELL	LP		64.7		100		18.0
Wollongong						100			See Note 2 below
Wyong	WEBBER	LP		52.6		100		9.5
Potential Composition of Legislative Assembly			19	68	3	Total:			90
Current Composition of Legislative Assembly			50	37	6	Total:			93